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Miyamotoo on 12 July 2018
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Shadow1980 said:
Miyamotoo said:

Can you pls make graph or at least gave numbers for NPD Switch sales YoY?

NPD with this prediction acuatly counts on very strong October-December quarter for Switch (espacily November-December) period that will erase PS4 lead leading in that period.

Also it's interesting you talk only about possibilitys and potential for PS4 but not for Switch. Pokemon Go can easily be much stronger system seller game than Odyssey last year was, also Switch didn't had any price cut or deal last BF while its expected that this year they will have at least some kind of bundles for current price point, so it wouldnt be strange if this November Switch sales around 1.5m (definitely more than 1m).  Also this December with Smash Bros will have much stronger month with sales, last year Switch sold 1.5m with Xenoblade this year we probably talk about around 2m+ this December.

Talking about PS4 sales, GoW had very strong effect on PS4 April-May sales (no one expected PS4 will have so much huge boost in sales because of GoW), in June, July and August months difrence in sales probably want be so big.

 

 

And I did say it's going to come down to pricing during the holidays and what effect Pokemon and Smash have. But the fact of the matter is that the Switch is almost certainly going to go into this holiday season with a significant YTD deficit against the PS4. It will be hard to overcome that with software alone. If Nintendo has big BF & Christmas price cuts (say, to no more than $250), then the Switch has a very real shot of becoming #1 for the year, especially if Sony neglects to issue any price cut this December. Nintendo will likely need to sell upward of one million more units this holiday than they did last holiday to get even a slim win. It's possible, but not likely. I still think the odds are in the PS4's favor for reaching the #1 spot for total sales in 2018.

But thats expected, and its expected that Switch will have very strong Q4 (definitely stronger than last year), if that will be enough to overcome PS4 difrence, reamin to be seen. I dont think Nintendo will make price cut beacuse they still selling Switch whithout game for $300, they will certanly first start selling Switch with bundled game for that price point.