BOLD PREDICTION: Super Smash Bros Ultimate (Currently 17.68mil) Will Sell over 25mil WW Lifetime, Book IT

[Shiken]

p0isonparadise said:

Shiken said:
I do not see it on one platform. It will sell over 10 easy, but 25? That is very hard to do on a single platform release, regardless of momentum.

Selling 20+ million isn't that hard for Nintendo when they have a successful console;

Super Mario Bros. - 40 million (NES)
Mario Kart Wii - 37.1 million (Wii)
Wii Sports Resort - 33 million (Wii)
Pokemon Red/Blue - 31.4 million (Game Boy)
New Super Mario Bros. - 30.8 million (DS)
New Super Mario Bros. Wii - 30.2 million (Wii)
Tetris - 30 million (Game Boy)
Duck Hunt - 28.3 million (NES)
Wii Play - 28 million (Wii)
Pokemon Gold/Silver - 24 million (Game Boy)
Nintendogs - 24 million (DS)
Mario Kart DS - 23.6 million (DS)
Wii Fit - 22.7 million (Wii)
Wii Fit Plus - 21.1 million (Wii)
Super Mario World - 20.6 million (SNES)

Now, do I think Smash will sell 25 million? No. It's a fighting game so it won't have the broad appeal of Mario, Pokemon, Mario Kart, Wii Fit/Sports.

16-18 million seems realistic and probable. 

Very good point, I am gonna say ballpark 15mil.  As you said, it is a fighting game.  It seems the general consensus is you either like it or hate it, but I feel more like it than hate it.