Wright said:
I know, but knowing Sakurai consider Smash 3DS and Smash WiiU two separated entries, as opposed to the same game in two different versions, made me not look at it that way; goes without saying that Ultimate only has one version to rely on, too. Plus, 15m would make Smash Ultimate sit as the best-selling Switch game (looking at today's numbers, dunno by the time it releases), which I don't see happening either. |
Okay, but why are you comparing Smash's speculative lifetime sales to the 5-month sales of Odyssey? 1.37M copies were shipped in Q1 2018. Do you not think it can sell another 4.59M for the rest of the Switch's lifecycle? Mario Kart is sitting at 9.22M and shipped 1.89M in Q1, so it could easily pass 15M as well. Not to mention how every new Pokemon generation has sold more than 15M, and the next one is coming to Switch in 2019.
The bottom line is that Smash would have to sell a lot more than 15M to become Switch's best-selling game.
Also, your prediction of 9M is crazy. Smash 4 sold more than that on 3DS alone. Switch is performing better than 3DS in both hardware and software sales, and Ultimate will not have any of its sales stolen by a different version of the game.
