Japan sales (Week 26) Media Create/Famitsu/Dengeki - June 25 - July 1, 2018

[zorg1000]

Eagle367 said:

zorg1000 said:

Well lets look at the averages for the quarter

NSW-~40k

PS4-~20k

3DS/Vita/XBO-~10k

Pokemon+Smash this holiday will probably create some strong momentum going into 2019 plus Switch could get its first price cut or revision next year. Overall it should hold an even higher average, 50-60k perhaps?

PS4 doesnt have much for this year to create momentum but next January has Kingdom Hearts+Resident Evil 2 which should give a solid boost but probably not as big as Monster Hunter did this year, spring baseline will probably go closer to ~15k.

3DS/Vita/XBO are dead/dying, software support is drying up and will likely be gone by this time next year, combined the three will probably struggle to sell 5k on a weekly basis.

 

Its possible we could be looking at Switch selling 50k+ each week next spring while PS4/3DS/Vita/XBO do sub-20k.

 

Medisti said:

That's a bit optimistic. 75% is possible, with Pokemon and Smash coming, but I don't know if 90% will happen unless the PS4 has basically nothing for Japanese audience for the first half of next year. There'll certainly be a re-release of Monster Hunter World with new content same as every time.

I'm talking about 75 consistently while 90+ is more like once in a blue moon or even just once

I dont think 75% markershare on a typical week is out of the question for next year. This quarter it had something like 55-60% so assuming that Switch sales are better next year while while PS4/3DS/Vita/XBO all decrease than it should be doable.