Japan sales (Week 26) Media Create/Famitsu/Dengeki - June 25 - July 1, 2018

[Eagle367]

zorg1000 said:

Eagle367 said:
At this rate switch will have 75% of all sales each week in a few months. PS4 is dropping while switch is rising each week. By next year we might even enter a point where the market share is 90%+ for the switch

Well lets look at the averages for the quarter

NSW-~40k

PS4-~20k

3DS/Vita/XBO-~10k

Pokemon+Smash this holiday will probably create some strong momentum going into 2019 plus Switch could get its first price cut or revision next year. Overall it should hold an even higher average, 50-60k perhaps?

PS4 doesnt have much for this year to create momentum but next January has Kingdom Hearts+Resident Evil 2 which should give a solid boost but probably not as big as Monster Hunter did this year, spring baseline will probably go closer to ~15k.

3DS/Vita/XBO are dead/dying, software support is drying up and will likely be gone by this time next year, combined the three will probably struggle to sell 5k on a weekly basis.

 

Its possible we could be looking at Switch selling 50k+ each week next spring while PS4/3DS/Vita/XBO do sub-20k.

 

Medisti said:

Eagle367 said:
At this rate switch will have 75% of all sales each week in a few months. PS4 is dropping while switch is rising each week. By next year we might even enter a point where the market share is 90%+ for the switch

That's a bit optimistic. 75% is possible, with Pokemon and Smash coming, but I don't know if 90% will happen unless the PS4 has basically nothing for Japanese audience for the first half of next year. There'll certainly be a re-release of Monster Hunter World with new content same as every time.

I'm talking about 75 consistently while 90+ is more like once in a blue moon or even just once

Last edited by Eagle367 - on 04 July 2018