People downplay this Pokemon because it's obviously meant to appeal to the casual, but it will probably be a very big player. This Smash looks like a 12+million seller for sure, as the Switch is at full momentum and Ultimate isn't splitting sales between a console and a handheld. Smash 4 outsold Brawl between the 2 systems, so I could see Ultimate beating Brawl as well and selling 13-16 million, more if the Switch doesn't lose momentum anytime soon and sells Wii levels, and if Ultimate serves to unite the fanbase while attracting new casuals.
Pokemon is a bit of a wild card. The 3DS mainline games sold 15-16 million, but this isn't looked at as a mainline game. Even the 3rd version games never sold below 6 million with Crystal, though. So it might sell in between there. Maybe it'll sell close to 15 million as well, like Yellow, since it too has mascot Pokemon that travel with you. Or maybe it'll sell like a Stadium game and sell 2.5-6 million. Since it's kind of a retelling of 1st gen, and kind of a remake, I think it might sell around what the sequel game, Black2/White2, did, and sell around 8-10 million. But I could see it doing Yellow numbers as well if it really draws in a lot of Pokemon Goers. If it sells less than the remakes, like a sequel, it'll get 8-10 and Smash has it in the bag. If it sells better than the remakes, closer to Yellow, it'll be close, probably 13-15, but I think Smash might just pull out ahead.
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