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Miyamotoo on 21 June 2018
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Megiddo said:

You think that the Switch will not have a problem reaching 100 million software sales because 1.4% of that goal was sold in the Switch's strongest region in May? It's not like the Wii U was some sort of console sales machine and 2011 was 5 years into the Wii which is well past its sharp decline I believe.

You dont know about how much percent we talking about, remember this 90% increase without digital sales. For the record, Switch sold 8.15m software units in hole Q1 of last year with games like Zelda BotW and MK8D released in March and April, and in 13 moths sold 69m software. With much higher install base and much more games releasing, it will not have problem reaching 100m.

Megiddo said:

Games with digital only sales are not included in the 100 million goal. And if you have better software numbers I'd love to see them as I agree VGchartz is not reliable. Did Nintendo announce total software sold last quarter during their fiscal report?

Yes it did, 16.4m for January-March period.

Megiddo said:

I mean, I don't know what software was launched on the Wii in 2011 in May nor do I care to find out. The reason I said "Wii was well past its sharp decline I believe" was in relation to the Switch's May software. I never even mentioned whether or not the Wii in 2011 reached 100 million software, you did.

My argument is based on data. Smash and Pokemon could very well sell 30 million units this fiscal year but what else is there to sell the rest? Mario Kart, BOTW, Splatoon 2, and Odyssey combined for over 30 million units last fiscal year and yet software was no even anywhere close to 100 million.

If you want to have a data-derived argument, then show me your thinking into exactly how Nintendo will reach 100 million software this fiscal year with the lineup they have announced. You've given me Smash and Pokemon for 30 million. You've got 70 million left.

Tell us what exactly software give boost of 90% now in May in US compared to last year without digital sales?

From some reason you dont count higher install base, large numbers of games and increasing attach rate with every month. Fact is that Switch games are selling great and that's without new heavy hitters.

 

bubblegamer said:
Not happening. Nintendo overestimates most of their projections anyways so it's not that surprising to me. Besides Switch is not selling that well and it would have to sell 30 to 40% more than the almighty PS4 to make it. So nope.

Actually with Switch they underestimated every their projection until now, and then increased projection almost every quarter. Switch is selling very well (on pair with second PS4 year in US) and I really don't see why Switch needs to sell more than PS4 currently to meet their goal.