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Reassessing since my first post in this thread, I say there's a sub-moderate chance that Nintendo could fall short of 20 million shipped. I don't think we'll see any region of error greater than 1.5 million units +/-, meaning 18.5 to 21.5 million shipped by end of FY. Nintendo has great momentum in their stock value right now and upsetting shareholders because of missed projections is (obviously) incredibly unfavorable. If 20 million is missed, I doubt Nintendo would let it slip too far. On the other end, they may not have to do too much for 20 million to be in reach; simple bundles and price cuts for the holidays could skyrocket their numbers if they start to lag.

I still say yes, with a slight side-order of "ehh..."