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Megiddo said:
20 million Switch units is still possible.

100 million software units is far, far, far out of reach.

If they ship 20m Switch units they can easily ship 100m software units, how install base and number of games is growing, sales of software is also growing. You forgetting that games like Zelda BotW, MK8D, Splatoon 2, Mario Odyssey...contine to selling great this year also, and there are plenty of games (including 3rd party) this FY and Smash and Pokemon will sell great in any case.

 

curl-6 said: 

Nah, I don't think so.

Switch now has no system sellers at all in the first 10 months of the year, there is nothing to spur the system's momentum until Pokemon in November, and Smash not coming out until less than 3 weeks before Christmas will limit its impact.

They really should have had Smash out in September or October, then 20m would've been a breeze. As things stand I expect hardware sales to slump badly between now and Let's Go.

We talking about fiscal year, that start 1. April, so we dont talk about 10 months, and sales from January-March 2019. will also count.

 

quickrick said: 
Wyrdness said: 

Smash and Pokemon are bigger sellers than all those games with the exception MK.

smash and 3d mario have always been very close in sales, and 3d mario has taken it to a new level, I don't see smash doing the same.

Fact it that hevy hitters games are selling great on Switch, BotW become best selling 3D Zelda, MK8D best selling MK game after MK Wii, Splatoon 2 best selling Splatoon, Mario Odyssey will be best selling 3D Mario, even Kirby is on track to be best selling Kirby game, we can expect same from Mario Tennis...Smash Bros Ultimate will also most likly be best selling Smash Bros game.

 

mZuzek said: 
Wyrdness said: 

Smash and Pokemon are bigger sellers than all those games with the exception of MK.

Not spin-off Pokémon usually, but then again this is that spin-off that has the potential to sell as much as mainline games.

This is more casual Pokemon game, so actually it could even sell more than core Pokemon, but definitely will have great sales and it will be huge system seller in any case.