PS4/XBO/NS - 2017 vs. 2018: Final Results!!!

[PAOerfulone]

Well, now that E3 has come and gone and we know what's coming. We can expect to see all three systems to slow down in the coming months, since summer is a very slow time when it comes to sales.

The PS4 will, I expect, will continue to trail behind 2017 for the most part, while the Xbox One continues to pull further ahead. Then, get a huge jump in sales in September and October from FIFA & Spider-Man, and CoD, Battlefield, and RDR2, respectively. That jump in October will go for the Xbox One as well, maybe even more so with the addition of Forza Horizon 4. However, I expect the Xbox One to fall behind significantly in November and December since that was the Xbox One X launch period last year and they don't have anything to match it this year. Unless they do very cheap deals that like a $299 Xbox One X, highly, HIGHLY unlikely though. I think it's going to be a pretty close call for Microsoft this year. The majority of people thought they were the winners of E3 this year, which I also agree with. Let's see if that boosts momentum and sales in some capacity. It's a matter of will 2018's lead be big enough come that first week of November once shit hits the fan.

I also expect the PS4 to be behind as well in the holiday months. They may have some deals in store like they did last year, but I don't think they're going to have as big of an effect. I feel as the the system is beginning to lose some steam and reach that saturation point. Sony themselves are expecting to ship 18 million for the fiscal year, down from 20 million last fiscal year: https://www.theverge.com/2017/4/28/15466956/playstation-4-sales-sony-forecast, coming out of E3, I can see why. With no plans for an official price cut in sight, '2018 PS4' is fighting a losing battle here.

Last but not least, the Nintendo Switch. I expect to be continuously up YoY between now and September. Remember how last year during the summer time, the Switch was going through severe stock issues that slowed sales considerably as Nintendo struggled to keep up. Since that obviously won't be the case this year and there's a healthy supply of games and content this summer to keep fans busy and attract buyers (Mario Tennis Aces, Crash N Sane Trilogy, Project Octopath Traveler, Okami HD, etc.) The Switch shouldn't have any trouble being consistently up YoY these next few months from June to September, with the exception of the last 2 weeks of July (Splatoon 2 launch period last year). It will most likely be down in October from last year. As great as Super Mario Party looks, that's no match for Super Mario Odyssey. And this will spill over into the first week of November and I think 2018 Switch still be trailing those first two weeks. But, man oh man, once that 2nd week hits and Pokemon arrives, followed shortly by Black Friday and then finally, Smash Bros. LOOK OUT!

Last edited by PAOerfulone - on 13 June 2018