quickrick said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:
One place where we differ is that you put a lot more emphasis on big Western titles than I do. Switch won't get many Western exclusives, but most Western games are going to go multiplat and include Switch anyway. Western developers are already making 5 versions of their games : PC, PS4, PS4 Pro, XB1, XB1X. They might as well make a 6th version for the Switch. These games are already made with scaling up/down in mind, so its not a big deal to scale the games down a little to the Switch. It's definitely worth porting a game over if it's going to sell a million+ like Skyrim. Of course you're not going to full see this until 2019 because most games take 2-3 years to develop. Next week at E3, we'll see maybe 30-50% or so of Western games get a Switch version. Starting next year, the majority of multiplat games will also get a Switch version.
Where Switch will really stand out though is with Japanese exclusives. This is a bigger deal, because Japanese developers don't go multiplat to the extent that Western developers do, so third party exclusives will mostly be coming from Japan. Switch is on track to surpass the PS4's total install base by late 2018/early 2019. This means that Japanese developers see Switch as the main console to develop for. Switch is going to get a lot of Japanese exclusives. Of course, some Japanese games are going to be multiplat, but the ones that aren't are going to be mostly Switch exclusives. Again, since games take at least a couple of years to make then you won't see too much of this next week at E3. Switch will get a few third party exclusives next week, but PS4 will get more. Next year that will reverse, and then Switch will just get more and more exclusives after that.
This is all why Sony needs to release PS5 ASAP. They still aren't going to get many Japanese exclusives, but they'll actually get more Western exclusives. Downgrading from PS4 to Switch is easy. Downgrading from PS5 to Switch is much bigger deal and probably won't happen much.
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Japanese developers don't only care about japan, they care about WW just as much, even when switch passes ps4 in japan they will still support ps4/xb1 way more, with xb1 getting a free pass because the port job is so easy. As for porting ps4 being easy doesn't seem so, dark souls, and dragon quest being delayed since forever tell a different story, not to mention the lack of many big Japanese games like resident evil 7, MHW and final fantasy that would do great on switch but are not being ported because how the difficult the port job is. Which usually is a 3 month job. when ps5 comes out, it will get ps4 games just upgraded to 60fps/4k which is fine and should be a cakewalk for a port team, much easier then downgrading to switch which many developers are not doing right now.
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