Will this be the last year PS4 outsells Switch?

[LipeJJ]

TheBlackNaruto said:

LipeJJ said:
I think a better question would be if PS4 will outsell Switch this year, which I don't believe it will.

But why do you feel that way if you don't mind me asking when it has been consistently outselling it all year and shows no signs of that reversing just yet? I mean I am not saying you will be wrong......just wondering why you feel this way.

Me personally I think it will be close by the end of the year with the PS4 taking it.

Sure, I don't mind sharing.

Well, there are many reasons why I believe this will be the case: for starters, Sony's line up for the first half of the year was amazing (and will continue to be in the second half) with heavy hitters and exclusives like Monster Hunter World, God of War and Far Cry 5, while Switch's line up was very modest. Kirby being the biggest release of the first 6 months of the year really highlights this. Now, we all know Switch is going to get many heavy hitters on the second semester such as Smash Bros. and a Pokémon game, which might not be exactly the mainline game people expected, but still looks a lot like a traditional Pokémon game.

On top of that, Nintendo systems show a much bigger growth on the holiday season compared to PS, and last year Switch was no exception. And then we have the companies shipments forecasts. I know companies can undershoot/overshoot predictions, and I firmly believe Sony will surpass their forecast, but Nintendo is expecting 20m shipped this fiscal year, and I don't really believe Sony will overship their forecast by 4m at this rate. Also, judging by its performance and possible second semester line up, I don't have a reason to doubt Nintendo's forecast, especially when they have been spot on and sometimes even pessimistic lately.

Regardless, I think it will be close.