Will this be the last year PS4 outsells Switch?

[Bofferbrauer2]

LethalP said:

MasonADC said:

How much longer will ps4 continue its pacing ahead of Switch though? It is currently 1.5 million ahead, but will that continue to grow when Switch starts to get new first party releases in June-December? 

Mario Tennis isn't doing a thing lol. It's not until Smash and Pokemon where Nintendo even have a foot through the door. I'll put it like this, PS4 has been sold out for much of May and it's continuing into June. GoW has had an unforseen effect on it's sales. It's winning May, it's definately winning June with the 'Days of Play' sale, completely canceling out any little effect Mario Tennis had for that month. And I see no reason Switch would win any other month of the year other than the ones Smash and Pokemon release in. And even then, if Smash hits September like many think, Sony has Spider-Man. PS4 won October 2017 despite Mario Oddysey, and it didn't even have an exclusive to compete.

I agree that Mario Tennis Aces won't do much on its own. However it's release marks the end of the drought of game releases, which was holding back Switch sales severely for the first half of the year.

This is also the reason why one should not bank on the first half of the year Switch sales to predict how it will do for the remainder of the year. There are quite a few games announced already to release by then, both from Nintendo and from third party publishers, and E3 will certainly add a lot more to the list. This slew of releases will keep Switch sales considerably above what we had until this month, so calculating with those numbers can only lead to a false positive.