Will this be the last year PS4 outsells Switch?

[Nem]

Barkley said:

Teeqoz said:

VGC would have us believe the PS4 went from having 2.9 million units on shelves at the end of 2017 to 1.4 million by the end of this Q1. Do you think the PS4 sold 3.94 million in Q1? Because that's what VGC is saying right now. About 971k came from the US, as per NPD, while (an abnormally high) 720k came from Japan, as per Media Create. That still leaves us 2.25 million short of what VGC suggests for Q1. Personally, I think that's too much for Europe and RoW to cover...

Actually 2.25m isn't too much for EU+RoW and the Rest of NA.

Let's look back at figures we knew were near correct because of official Sony Numbers.   https://web.archive.org/web/20180207194245/http://www.vgchartz.com/analysis/platform_totals/

Total - 74.01m
NA -  25.2m (23.02m USA)
EU - 29.62m
RoW - 13.24m
Japan - 5.95m

Using that information we can determine:

USA+Japan = 39.14% of PS4 Sales
Everywhere Else = 60.86% of PS4 Sales

For the Q1 as the figures you've posted show, USA+Japan make up 42.91% of sales, higher than usual (due to monster hunter).

So yeah actually 2.25m for RoW+EU+Rest of NA for Q1 is actually below the usual proportion, likely due to strong japanese sales with monster hunter.

(Had to use Platform Totals page from a previous date because you can't show NA sales in the weekly/yearly charts only USA? Also 7th Jan is closest I could get to the December 31st which is when Sony gave figures.)

You just blew his mind.

People are used to think the US is the biggest market. But, the US is in close competition between all 3, wich makes it less of a weight in the overall sales difference.