Will this be the last year PS4 outsells Switch?

[Nautilus]

quickrick said:

Nautilus said:

And you expect Sony to sell another 15 million units next year?Even when the PS4 would have probably passed 90 millions and be extremely close to 100 millions?You need to understand that there is eventually a saturation point that every console eventually reach.There are so many humans in the world interested in videogames that you can sell your console to.The high quality gamesthat are still going to release on the PS4 this year, like KH III, RDR 2 and so on, will move consoles, but wont move as much as they would normaly if released early in the console life, simply because thew audience for said games already has a PS4.PS4 is an amazing console, but its not a miracle worker.

Im not even going to adress the Switch factor here, given your bias against the company.Even if I pointed out that Nintendo is far from being empty on ammunition, since there is still Animal Crossing, 2D Mario, Bayonetta 3, a core Pokemon, new IPs and so on left, you wouldnt still acknoledge those circunstances, to put it lightly, and you will keep claiming as you were last year, that Nintendo already burned through most of their franchises,.So I believe that just pointing out the Sony factor as enough proof should be adequate, and spour a better discussion.

Once ps4 becomes 199$ well start talking about saturation, right now its selling better then switch in europe and North america at 299$, imagine when its 199$ with its huge library, and popularity it can probably do 18 million easy.

about the switch part  why even mention bayo 3 its not gonna move any units. as for core pokemon, at least 50% of pokemon fans will buy a switch for go, so core pokemon won't be having a massive impact like it would if it were the first pokemon on the console.

Its not much ahead of the Switch in the US, and thats not factoring in the fact that the Switch had hardly any noteworthy game released on it in 2018, outside of good ports(but still ports).But thats beyond the point.What should be more important than what a console is doing right now, is what the company themselves are forecastingfor said consoles in the future, and thats a bigger evidence than anything you and I mentioned here.Sony forecast 16 million units sold for this fiscal year(a decline) while the Nintendo forecast 20 million units sold this fiscal year(an increase, and for Switch only).In these forecasts they already factor things like bundles and special deals and price cuts, so this is a better basis to build an argumentation about the company prospects than anything else.Im not saying that things could turn out differently, but its just unlikely.And as time goes on, so does the console sales also decrease,after it passed its prime years, simply because the customer that wanted that console already bought it.So the likelyhood of PS4 selling better than it did this year is small.

About the Switch games, any exclusive moves systems, even if its a fraction of the number a bigger IP does.And 50% of the total number of Pokemon fans are still huge, given that the Pokemon fanbase is on the millions if Im not mistaken.And you just countered those games from all the ones I mentioned.Thats just goes to show how many bullets Nintendo has left.