quickrick said:
your going back 6 months or over which fall in line with my cliff comments. I thought switch would lose by near 100k it was 50k i was wrong about that, of course i'm not perfect, there was nothing insane though about those predictions. As for smash i think it will do around 10-12 million it won't be the second coming, pokemon go probably do 6-8 milllion. |
A game that sells 10-12 million units, particularly an evergreen game like Smash, should be able to seriously push some hardware units. Let's Go Pokemon (which I still see you refer to as Pokemon Go, despite, again it being more of Yellow remake with two mechanics from Pokemon Go included), is a bit more uncertain. I am currently more conservative about and my predictions with that one and hence my prediction here is more in line with yours (I am generally in the 5-7 million camp right now), but I still see it capable of moving hardware (I personally know a number of Pokemon fans that were waiting for a Pokemon game to get a Switch, some of them bought one on the day of the announcements while others now are planning to get one at or slightly before the games release; this anecdotal, however, hence why I am not quite ready to become more bullish on these games yet).
I think Smash + Pokemon Let's Go (even though its effect is not as certain as a mainline title) + evergreen titles/support titles should help keep Switch close to the last year's holiday sales (because I am uncertain about Pokemon yet...I will say it may be a bit below last year). If Nintendo does announce more exclusives and/or games that may not be exclsuive but would benefit from the system's portability at E3, then I think they may be able to surpass last year (of course I am a bit skeptical on that at this point, until we actually get the announcements).
