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If you look at past sales trends, MGS is much more front loaded in Japan. MGS3 fell very fast after a couple weeks. In America it started slow, I'm not sure why. I'd guess America will have a more front loaded selling pattern for MGSIV.

Region Japan America Others Total
Total Sales 0.86m 1.42m 1.70m 3.98m
Week 1 493,827 183,805 411,100 1,088,732
Week 2 115,054 156,318 189,696 461,068
Week 3 79,141 87,101 74,913 241,155
Week 4 46,779 122,559 51,299 220,637
Week 5 19,900 142,575 34,818 197,293
Week 6 10,365 177,632 25,073 213,070
Week 7 7,575 40,432 23,931 71,938
Week 8 4,913 23,834 19,529 48,276
Week 9 4,322 18,265 17,939 40,526
Week 10 3,511 15,102 17,794 36,407