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It's hard to say, simply because Nintendo wants to chase new ideas as opposed to competing with MS and Sony. From an Hardware standpoint as time goes on the differences in hardware will be more and more subtle so I think it's possible they could achieve making a machine that can get regualar third party support while not spending as much money on R&D as Sony and MS do, that being said it really depends on wether they'll drop the portable aspect of their market, which seems unlikely for now and the foreseable future