thismeintiel said:
Fri estimates are up. Solo made $35.6M. This is ~49.9% down from RO, which did $71.1M for its first Fri. The new 4-day weekend estimate is $108M-$115M. This would be 33.4%-37.5% lower than RO's first weekend. If that continues, Solo would make $332.61M-$354.43M at the DBO. If FBO represents the same 49.6% that it did for RO, then Solo would make $659.94M-$703.23M WW. This would officially make it a flop, especially if it comes in on the lower end, or worse.
Personally, I see it being on the lower end, if not worse. I doubt the legs on this will be as good as RO. I also don't think the FBO is going to be doing much heavy lifting, as I fully expect them to miss their ~$300M WW numbers for opening weekend. Then, we have Incredibles 2 coming in mid-June, which will cut its legs to basically nothing as it draws away families.
I do laugh at the tired excuses by some, as well as BOM. 1) Fatigue. Uh, Marvel? 2) Maybe May isn't for SW. Uh, the majority of SW movies have launched in May. Disney decided to go with December, but that doesn't change if people will come out and see your film or not. 3) The competition. This is something I sometimes bring up, mainly because it is the argument of so many analysts. In truth, if you have a big film and it is good, people will come to see it. Whether opening weekend or the weeks following. Besides, DP2 seems to be dropping quite a bit (65%) and Avengers is only expected to make ~$21M, so what exactly is keeping people away? Of course, absolutely no questioning the quality of the film. Or the BS that happened on social media. Sure, that had nothing to do with it. Lol.
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