I think in PS4 will surpass the 20.2 million mark set in 2017. Right now this is what it looks like for sell through numbers for this CY versus last CY:
| calendar year 2017 | calendar year 2018 | |
| Q1 | 2.9 million | 2.5 million |
| Q2 | 3.3 million | - |
| Q3 | 4.2 million | - |
| Q4 | 9.0 million | - |
Yes, as of the end of Q1 (March 31, 2018), 2018 is trailing 2017 by 400k units.
However, by that time in 2017, Sony's premiere Spring exclusive, Horizon Zero Dawn was already out for a full month, while this year's god of war (which is having a much bigger opening that Horizon) isn't out yet for the same time period for 2018. Q3 will house the much anticipated launch of Spiderman, which is sure help in moving additional PS4's. Q4 will have Red Dead Redemption 2 (first rockstar game this gen), COD Black Ops IIII (biggest sub-brand for the series), Battlefield V, and potentially the Division II and Project Starfield from Bethesda.
Bet with Intrinsic:
The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.
