What will drive Switch's 20+ million year sales?

[zorg1000]

Megiddo said:

zorg1000 said:

I didnt ignore it, i mentioned it in my post, i said Europe/ROW puts PS4 in the lead but its not going to be by a huge margin.

Using last years percentages is flawed since we can see that its not holding true for this year. Last year USA made up 37% of WW sales and japan about 25% but in April sales in those regions were almost identical.

Are you saying that you believe that the current trend for the Switch has the US comprise less than ~1/3 of the global sales?

Im saying your April estimates of 460k are likely incorrect.

USA did 171k so adding in Canada/Latin America would put that up ~200k

Adding in the 162k of Japan brings the total to ~365k.

The region Nintendo calls Other (Europe, Australia, etc) has consistently been about 80% of Americas so your estimates of ~100k seem way off.

Global sales would be more like ~525k for April rather than 460k estimate you gave. The Golden Week boost in Japan is what put it above 25% of global that is usually does.

 

Also back in the fiscal year im talking about for PS4, USA was more like 30% of global so your 665k estimate for PS4 is likely a bit too high as well and would be more like ~600k.

 

~525k vs ~600k is not a huge difference.