What will drive Switch's 20+ million year sales?

[WhatATimeToBeAlive]

Bofferbrauer2 said:

Megiddo said:

Right, but wouldn't you say the Switch is much more reliant on North America than the PS4? If my math is accurate from the data on VGchartz, in 2017 Nintendo had 37.2% of Switches sold in the US whereas Sony had 26.3% of PS4s sold in the US.

Taking that data, if you take the same trends for April 2018 for the Switch and April 2016 for the PS4 there would be 460k Switches sold globally and 665k PS4s sold globally. That's a pretty big difference when the two individual NPD totals are so close.

You are aware Switch sold relatively slow in Europe because retailers increased the price compared to the US (330€ at launch) during most of it's first year? Europe is much closer to the US this year than it did last year, even exceeding the US half the time. Taking that 2017 as your base value will skew your statistic just as much as omitting a region does for different reasons.

Even if Switch sales in Europe this year are closer to the US than last year, it doesn't remove the fact that PS4 sells more in Europe compared to the US. And since the sales difference in Europe is bigger than in Japan, PS4 will have the upper hand.