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LethalP said:
The Switch isn't going to be the Wii or DS. Rather more like the 3DS or GBA it will rely on the core gaming audience which respond directly to big game releases. This is unlike the Wii/DS which sold 400-500k a week on a regular basis with the motive being mostly to play Wii Sports. The Switch doesn't have that high baseline because it's a core machine.

The big downside here is that only really Nintendo release big games on the Switch, as opposed to Sony where third parties have their back as well. Not to mention Europe and the rest of the world market which Sony always has and always will dominate. Expecting Switch to do PS4 numbers in a year, let alone Wii or DS, is silly.

Biggest difference between Wii and Switch will be that Switch will have longer life span with multiply revisons and it will have typical IPs that were on handheld only before, for instance Pokemon, so yeah Wii had stronger sales in same time period but Switch will probably have longer sales and it will be longer on market with more revisions.

Wii and DS also didn't had strong part support that could be compared with PS3 support.

 

quickrick said: 
zorg1000 said: 

Sure, nothing wrong with doubting 20m but its silly to doubt it based solely on 1 month of sales.

Not really. imagine if switch did 300k this month, people out look on 20 million would be way more likely wouldn't you agree? each month is a indicator where the market is going. plus like another person pointed out this is the 4th month of the year and we are looking at a trend. honestly labo could have been a difference  maker, it could have been a huge hit nobody really knew till now with such a unique product from nintendo.

Yeah but also need to look what Switch had in April (or until now) and what will have in later months, and from May Switch lineup is getting quite stronger compared lineup until April, in April Switch had Labo that didnt performed best and later will have games like Smash Bros, Fire Emblem, Pokemon...that will be huge system seller games.