JRPGfan said:
duduspace1 said:
Disagree on this, what that thread currently tracks very well even as its being tweaked are the swings in sales and it clearly shows a relative decline for PS4 so far this month while the switch had a noticeable upward swing at the beginning of the month which has tapered away but not by much.
While it will take some time to tweak the thread's points allocation system to correlate with sufficient accuracy to NPD, relative performance in sales for the devices can already be seen to a reasonable degree. So it is not completely unreasonable for anyone to get excited about the potential outcome of May NPD for the switch even if its a bit premature as we are only about half way through the month.
The other factor as well is that the thread is curently predicting a high margin victory for the PS4 in April compared to March and if this is the case, the swing for May might still not be enough to make it lose its leadership position in sales.
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Intresting.... even with PS4 Slim being sold out for weeks on end at amazon its still on top for the month?
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The tool is still in progress and its weighting system probably isnt quite kosher yet. But it is quite some brilliant work which will certainly be more accurate than just the Amazon bestaeller list over time.
Right now I think its weighting system leans considerably in favour of the PS4......for example, its raw prediction for April suggests the Switch at 50% of the PS4, something I consider extremely unlikely despite the impact of GOW, but if it even comes to anything below 65% of the PS4's sales for April, I would say the tool is already very accurate.
