How many units do you think SWITCH will sell in 2018 (sold through)?

[zorg1000]

Qwark said:

zorg1000 said:

What makes you think that?

New Leaf which released in 2012/2013 sold the same amount as Wild World which released in 2005 and is the best selling 3DS game in Japan at over 5 million and the 7th best selling 3DS game globally at 11.7 million.

Even the spinoff title released in 2015 sold close to 4 million.

I think this game in general fares better as handheld game than as a full blown Console game. Which is kind of what we expect from Switch nowadays. I could be wrong though.

From all the people I know who want a Switch I heard Zelda, Smash, Mario Kart, Mario Oddesey, Pokemon and even Metroid (before both where announced) as main reasons to buy a Switch. Yet I never heard animal crossing as main reason. Perhaps Japan will love animal crossing to death.

As I said I could be wrong but I simply can't see the hype for a new animal crossing outside of fora like these. Anyway my estimate is somewhere between 17.5 and 18.5 million, pretty much equal to Playstation 4 sales which I estimate somewhere between 18.5 million and 19.5 million.

Yes Animal Crossing performs much better on handhelds, good thing Switch acts as a handheld

Well were the people you know hyped for Animal Crossing on DS or 3DS? AC is huge in Japan and in the West it is primarily played by kids & females. So im not sure if your friends are a good indication of how well a new one would do.

 

Overall i agree, i think Switch will do ~18 million.