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DonFerrari said:
LipeJJ said:

What kind of "niche game" sells 14m? Btw, at this rate I'd say betting anything below 15m would be bolder than my prediction.  

Actually, I'm thinking I should call it just "bold" now. Last quarterly figures surpassed all of our expectations by a lot (I myself expected about 1m shipped), but I stand by my original prediction of ~3.9m shipped this year, give or take a bit. The last figures just reinforced my prediction.

PS: BotW is at 10m as of March 31st.

To make a title that made 10M on its first year into a LT 20M is no small task.

I know, that's why I still consider it to be bold, just not super bold anymore.

Roar_Of_War said:
DonFerrari said:

To make a title that made 10M on its first year into a LT 20M is no small task.

BOTW has shown considerable legs to get to that 10 million already, and without any price cuts.

You do realize that Horizon, a new IP, sold 7.6 million in a year with massive price cuts, deals and a complete edition. What do you think Zelda, a long standing series that has sold even better and faster than Horizon without all of those benefits, can do once it receives them?

15 million seems like a lock. 20 million isn’t out of the question lifetime. Not for sure, but not ‘a stretch’. Just a max expectation prediction.

Exactly. The game will still be selling well in the next 2 years, and then Nintendo can always turn it into a Nintendo Select, cutting the price to $30, do special bundles for the holidays, etc.



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won