Nintendo has a realistic shot at returning to #1 this fiscal year - RESULT: Nintendo back on top (21.45m), Sony second (19m+)

[zorg1000]

Louie said:

zorg1000 said:

How often do Blue Ocean Products start out with massive sales right off the bat? Or how about new IPs aimed at kids/family/casual gamers in general?

 

GB Pokémon Red / Green / Blue FW 140.074 / LTD 7.936.360
NDS Tomodachi Collection FW 100.371 / LTD 3.692.859 
3DS Yo-kai Watch FW 52.901 / LTD 1.332.971
NDS Style Savvy FW 86.446 / LTD 891.076
PS1 Monster Farm FW 60.876 / LTD 729.063
NDS Inazuma Eleven FW 41.458 / LTD 401.820

NDS Brain Age: Train Your Brain in Minutes a Day! 44.166 / 3.847.136 Nintendo 19/05/2005
WII Wii Sports 176.880 / 3.724.565 Nintendo 02/12/2006
WII Wii Fit 254.009 / 3.561.787 Nintendo 01/12/2007
NDS Nintendogs: Labrador / Dachshund / Chihuahua & Friends 135.674 / 2.080.644 Nintendo 21/04/2005
WII Wii Play 171.888 / 2.804.201 Nintendo 02/12/2006
WII Wii Party 223.595 / 2.389.549 Nintendo 08/07/2010

 

Its not uncommon for games aimed at kids/families/casuals to sell 10-20x their FW sales.

 

As for the 30% sell-through, Golden Week started like 8 days after Labo launched, clearly retailers wanted to have plenty of stock for the holidays.

Your first question: That actually happens quite a lot. The products that sell bad at first a lot of the time are disruptive technologies not blue ocean products. 

I know that it's not uncommon for those games to sell over the long-run. But again, considering that Labo is not a blue ocean product, not disruptive and had moderate sales despite a big marketing push I still think Labo is not going to be as big as Nintendo wanted it to be and won't sell as many consoles as Nintendo had hoped. By the way, if Labo is going to develop legs and lift platform sales, it's probably going to show around week 8-10. Iwata said that - for some reason he didn't know himself - the expanded market games on Wii and DS started to give the platform a boost after that period of time. I just don't think Labo will do that.

If it happens all the time than you should be able to provide some examples. What are some new IP aimed at kids, families or casuals that had massive first week sales?