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jonathanalis said:
We had the 4 juggernauts system sellers (in 10 millmil range eventually) in 2017(zelda, kart, Odyssey, splatoon) and sold 15 million. In 2018, we have only smash for now, I can see they announcing other big 10m range game, but still is half of last year... I still believe in growth due to momentum of already launched games, new smaller releases and possible 2 really big games. |
Zelda released in the previous fiscal year so it was 3 juggernauts, not 4. Mario Kart in April, Splatoon in July & Super Mario in Oct.
Its too early for us to say they dont have enough big sellers this FY since we dont know the full lineup. We only have concrete dates for games releasing thru mid-July so just over 1/4 of the FY.
But even if they dont release as many mega hits, they already have a much steadier flow of small-medium sized hits lined up along with last years titles still moving hardware.
On top of that, they will likely start to release better value bundles this holiday. For example, Switch+Mario Kart for $299 or Splatoon for Japan.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.
