FY 2017 results:
3DS:
6.40 million consoles (down 12% YoY)
35.64 million games (down 35.3% YoY)
Switch:
15.05 million consoles (17.79m total)
63.51 million games (68.97m total)
FY 2018 Forecast:
3DS:
4.00 million consoles
16.00 million games
Switch:
20.00 million consoles
100.00 million games
Basically, Nintendo plans for 3DS hardware and software to crash this year (shipping 37.5% less 3DSs with 55.11% less games this next 12 months)
While Nintendo Switch will blossom, (shipping 33.33% more Nintendo Switches with 57.45% more games)
I think Nintendo can hit all 4 forcasts this year, but I think they are still being a bit conservative on Nintendo Switch hardware forcasts and they will probably revise that forcast up during the September 31st results or the December 31st results, by as much as an extra 4 million Nintendo Switches.
I think they have another giant seller, such as Animal Crossing, ready for November if Pokemon gets pushed back to February, If Pokemon launches in November, Animal Crossing will launch in February instead.
So depending on how smooth the development process goes, it could end up either way, and I think Nintendo doesn't quite have the final verdict on that yet.
Either way, they will have a bigger year than last year which is positive momentum for third party developers to hop on the success train.
Many third parties will make bank, a few will miss the opportunity for various reasons.
All around, great news today!
:)
