I guess I just don't see it that way.
Doing 3 million lifetime is pretty meh when you consider how early Arms released in the Switch's life cycle. It gets even worse when you consider the huge boost that just about every Nintendo franchise has had on Switch (just look at how Kirby, even without being a critical darling, blew past expectations). Arms is not doing very good at all ... it's just doing "ok", and it seems like that's not something most platform holders are happy with.
Don't get me wrong, I do expect an Arms 2. I just wouldn't be shocked if we didn't get one, and I don't think they'll make an Arms 2 because of sales (if that makes any sense...)
I agree with you that ARMS will probably not get an EPD developed sequel since it will most likely take too long for it to reach the required sales with a good amount of them probably being at discount prices but there's a part of me that hopes otherwise because of how hard they're still pushing it. That being said, I wouldn't be surprised if Nintendo green-lights a new in-house Nintendogs game before an in-house ARMS sequel since a new Nintendogs game would probably be more lucrative, even in its current state.Last edited by wombat123 - on 26 April 2018