Japan sales (Week 14): Media Create/Famitsu/Dengeki - April 2 - 8, 2018

[zorg1000]

fatslob-:O said:

zorg1000 said:

Yes, just for a couple weeks, you are being way too pessimistic.

Octopath will sell far better than Setsuna/Sphear, think more along the lines of the Bravely games.

Tropical Freeze will match the Wii U version at the least, not the most. Its far more likely to perform at a similar level as Returns 3D.

 

Basically each month has a medium sized game that will likely sell 250k+.

April-Nintendo Labo

May-Tropical Freeze

June-Mario Tennis

July-Octopath Traveler

On top of that there are a handful of potential 50k+ sellers like Snack World, Dark Souls, Sushi Striker, YS VIII, Captain Toad, etc. that will release in that time frame.

There isnt any need to be "concerned" about Switch sales this Spring/early Summer, it will likely have a handful of sub-40k weeks in there but it will also have a handful of weeks above 40k so it evens out.

From week 15-week 28, Switch averaged 35k/week last year. Worst case scenario is Switch being flat YOY in that tine period.

I'm not convinced about Octopath Traveler and the pre-order numbers for those games don't look very good either for those upcoming games along with Donkey Kong ... (DKCTF hasn't even entered COMG pre-order charts and it's just around 3 weeks away from release so selling as close as the original would be a relatively good result for it)

Your mistake is relying so much on COMG pre-orders.

Kirby Star Allies had 2/3 the points of Triple Deluxe yet slightly outsold it.

The Switch version of Attack on Titan had more points yet was outsold by the PS4 version.

COMG is a nice tool just like Amazon rankings but they dont always paint the whole picture.

 

As for Donkey Kong not showing yet, Returns 3DS hadnt at this point either, it showed up with 12 days left.

Last edited by zorg1000 - on 11 April 2018