I think that anywhere between 15-20 million units is a fair prediction. There's a lot of hype around Smash, Pokemon, Fire Emblem, and Metroid right now; delivering on those titles will be a key factor in driving more sales. (Although for me at least it's unclear if any of those games besides maybe smash bros will be out this year.) Nintendo also needs to clear away the uncertainty over their online services and launch their virtual console already.
I'm not too worried about a lack of content this year though, there's a string of great 3rd party and indie titles lined up at least. We've also already got a Kirby and a Yoshi game to start off the year which is nice. They can also continue to port over Wii U or even Wii games to keep a steady stream of first party content coming. Personally I would love to see something along the lines of a Zelda HD collections with Wind Waker, Twilight Princess, and possibly Skyward Sword bundled together.
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