Things are so slow around here tonight. Hi Lipe! This is possible.....but I think it will fall short. 2019 and onward is where it gets iffy for me. But hey, if you're correct, or even close, you'll have some great bragging rights. I'm almost ready for bed. Goodnight Lipe!
Yeah, it's very quiet and slow this late. And I'll be sure to brag about it in some years. Good night, I'm off to bed too!
OP's numbers still won't add up even in one of the more highly optimistic cases ...
Assuming that's how it'll all play out with 2022 and 2023 doing 1.2M each, it'll still be shy of 20M units ...
In one of BotW's worst weeks in 2017 it did 40K so it's not hard to imagine that it'll become next year's average thus watering down OP's numbers further and I have no idea why Nintendo would do a reprint for a system out of production such as the Wii U ...
They're close as I believe it will be close in the end anyway, give or take.
It doesn't need to do 1.2m in 2022 and 2023 each, it only needs to do 1.2m from 2022 onwards. The numbers on OP give us ~18m on Switch, then you add at the very least 1.5m from Wii U and we have at least 19.5m.
Btw, 40k would be a great baseline for 2019 and it's the opposite of what you said... it helps the case of my prediction. That would be more than enough to meet the 2.8m mentioned, as it would put it at 1.8m up until october, then it would only need a million during the holidays. I think this won't be much of a problem for Zelda.
Anyway, I guess we'll have an awesome idea later this month when figures are released.
Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won