Initially, I predicted 80m lifetime before the Nintendo Switch Launched.
I revised that to 110m lifetime once we got more of a picture at 2017's E3.
I will revise that higher if the Third Party Nintendo Switch landscape improve notably, otherwise, I am sticking around 110m for my lifetime prediction for a bit longer.
Anyway, Nintendo Switch has a lot in its favor right now:
-It is already 15.7% of the way to Wii's lifetime sales
-Best first year of any console ever to build momentum off of
-Its getting Wii U, 3DS, Vita, and Lapsed Gamers
-Unreleased Games: Smash Bros., Pokemon, 2D Mario, Animal Crossing, Pikmin, Metroid, etc.
-Possible Price Cuts over the next 8 years: $249, $199, $149, $129, $99
-Possible Hardware Revisions: Switch Mini, Switch XL, Switch TV, Switch SP, Etc.
-Longer Console Cycle: 7 to 10 years
-Wild Card #1: ???Third Party support may greatly improve as the install base explodes around the pokemon phase???
-Wild Card #2: New breakout hit games (like Wii sports, Brain Age, Nintendogs, etc.)
