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zorg1000 said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

Based on first party lineup.  2017 had several great first party games.  2018 has Smash Bros and everything else is minor by comparison.

Like i said a couple posts back, as time goes on individual system sellers become less important and a wide variety and constant flow of software becomes more important.

This year has Dragon Quest Builders, Bayonetta, Payday 2, Kirby, Hyrule Warriors, Labo, Donkey Kong, Mario Tennis, Octopath Traveler, Captain Toad, Okami, Crash Bandicoot, Dark Souls, South Park, Attack on Titan, Outlast 1&2, Mega Man Collection, Street Fighter Collection, One Piece Warriors 3, Naruto Collection, Harvest Moon, Little Nightmares, Sushi Striker, Fire Emblem, Yoshi, No More Heroes, Pillars of Eternity, Wolfenstein, Smash Bros on top of whatever else gets announced for this year and a ton of indies and all the evergreen titles of 2017.

 

There is no reason whatsoever to assume sales will be underwhelming this year.

I agree with the bolded statement.  Switch sales will still be good this year.  It won't turn into a Wii U or anything.  But it's going to lose some momentum.  It won't hit 20m for it's second full fiscal year (or whatever the official projection ends up being).  It will sell something like 10m - 16m in its second fiscal year.