Rate Nintendo Direct - 03/08/18!

[h2ohno]

Flilix said:

The_Liquid_Laser said:

Let me be clear that I mean that Switch hardware sales will be disappointing this year.  Kimishima will fall short of his hardware sales goals.  In 2017, Nintendo released 4 games that are selling extremely well: Zelda, 3D Mario, Mario Kart, and Splatoon 2.  This year the only game we know of that is off similar caliber is Smash Bros.  The first party library of 2018 pales in comparison to 2017.  Unless they have another big game ready, then hardware sales are going to be disappointing.

They didn't just make these sales goals up with no reason, though. They know how well their games sell approximately, so they did the math and came to the conclusion that they could sell about 20 million. They know the full line up, so their prediction would probably be better than ours.

Remember, we don't know a single release date yet for August and beyond, and these are by far the biggest months of the year.

Is it 20 million lifetime by the end of 2018?  Because sales would have to fall off a cliff at this point to not reach that level.  They'd have to sell less than 5 million units for the rest of the year.