Megiddo said:
After just over 2 months PS4 is at 620k and Switch is at 490k according to Media Create. May I ask, what is it that you expect will result in the Switch selling 3.51 million units the remaining 10 months while the PS4 only sells 1.38 million? |
Did you miss the part when i said 100% of the YOY increase is from Monster Hunter? The MH boost has essentially run its course and PS4 will go back to selling 20-30k/week. Q2-Q4 will more or less be the same as last year.
Switch is consistently selling 40-50k each week with no big releases, Mario Rabbids is the biggest debut of the year so far at like 70k, with DQ Builders & Bayonetta being the 2nd & 3rd biggest at 28k & 20k.
If it can sell that well with nothing major than what do you think is going to happen when big games release?
If PS4 averages 30k/week & Switch 50k/week from now thru Sept than YTD numbers will be PS4-1.5m & Switch-2m.
That brings us to the holiday quarter which heavily falls in Nintendo's favor. Q4 typically makes up about 50% of yearly sales for Nintendo.
PS4 on the other hand has averaged 500k in Q4 for the last 4 years.
PS4, 1.5m+500k=~2 million
NSW, 2m x 2=~4 million
Switch will sell roughly double what PS4 sells this year.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.
