Well John Lucas, it's crunch time ;). If we take the end of July to be the last week with any days in July in it (ie, the week ending 5th of August, which I believe is also NPD July. Which I suppose could be plausible depending on which week Sunday is counted in, as I assume most Wiis are sold on Sunday), then the Wii has 5 weeks to sell 1.28 Million more units than the Xbox. To do so, it needs to outsell the Xbox by 256k units per week.
Last week the Wii sold 70k in Japan 93k in USA, and 64k in Others, for a total of 227k. This will net them 1.135 Million consoles, or dropping 145k units short. Of course, this is assuming that no Xboxes sell, however, last week they sold 3k in Japan, 44k in America, 22k in Others for a total of 69k in a week or 345k over the period of a month. Meaning at last week's rate Nintendo will fall 490k units short.
You did pretty well with your prediction (I don't know when you made it, but I'm pretty sure it was a long time ago, way back when everyone was discounting the Wii, so it's quite impressive you got this close) but I'm afraid it looks like the Wii will overtake the Xbox360 in August (most likely, the same week that Metroid Prime 3 is released). To be honest, I'm a bit disappointed in Nintendo's abaility to ship Wiis, they're still selling out yet Nintendo isn't even selling 1 million per month. What happened to the extra manufacturing capacity? I suppose they're stockpiling for the holidays.
So John Lucas, do you still hold to your July prediction? Or do you give it up as a lost cause? Think something might convince the big N to release 1.5 Million Wiis over the course of July? When does everyone think that the Wii will finally overcome the Xbox?
Help! I'm stuck in a forum signature!
