February 2018 NPD predictions thread

[quickrick]

Welfare said:

quickrick said:

are you the same welfare from REtera/neogaf? and if so why do you think the numbers will be that low.

Yes I am.

The last time we had a 5 week January, the week over week improvements in February were nothing special.

Xbox 360 January 2013: 281K / 5 = 56,200
Xbox 360 February 2013: 302K / 4 = 75,500
Weekly average up +34%

PS3 January 2013: 201K / 5 = 40,200
PS3 February 2013: 262K / 4 = 65,500
Weekly average up +63%

3DS January 2013: 145K / 5 = 29,000
3DS February 2013: 189K / 4 = 47,250
Weekly average up +63%

Wii January 2013: 100K / 5 = 20,000
Wii February 2013: 99K / 4 = 24,750
Weekly average up +24%

Right now my predictions show a ~+60% increase in weekly average for Xbox One, ~+55% for PS4, and ~+30% for Switch so those would be alright outcomes. If all 3 consoles go above 300K I would be pleasantly shocked.

Thanks for the info. Really appreciate your math for NPD estimates. 

Last edited by quickrick - on 01 March 2018