January 2018 NPD Thread! Switch #1

[zorg1000]

fatslob-:O said:

newwil7l said:

That is the thing. Switch is performing much better in the west than the 3DS. Which is why 20 million isn't unrealistic.

Define "much better" ... 

So far in their respective lifetimes 3DS the was pulling off a weekly average of 58K/week at the start of the new year in the US while in the most optimistic scenario (don't have solid numbers so far) the Switch's weekly average so far is 70K (~350K for January possibly) which translates to a 20% improvement ...

Assuming that the Switch holds that weekly improvement over the 3DS it's on track to sell 4.2M units for the US this year while there's a very real possibility that the Switch could be down YOY in Japan this year with maybe ~3M units sold so how do you propose Nintendo make up that 12M+ unit differential ? (even after factoring Europe the Switch would still be well short of 20M units) 

Shipments this fiscal year outside Japan.

3DS-7.83 million

NSW-9.00 million

 

Nintendo is forcasting just under 3 million this quarter, thus far Japan has represented about 25% of shipments so that leaves 2.25m for the West.

End of fiscal year shipments

3DS-8.76 million

NSW-~11.25 million