| Megiddo said: It's going to be difficult for the Switch to hit 20 million next fiscal year with a 40-50k weekly average in Japan. I believe that's roughly 2-2.5 million for a year in one of its strongest regions. Hope it has some big plans for the second half of 2018 to be able to reach such a bold goal. |
You're forgetting to factor in holidays, Q4 can be as much as the other 3 quarters combined.
Lets say 50k x 40 weeks, thats 2 million
Double that for holiday boost and you get ~4 million.
Last year Japan was about 25% of WW sales so that would be ~16 million if the ratio remains the same this year.
But again, we have to remember its been doing 40-50k with no big releases, Bayonetta is the biggest debut of the year yet and it was only ~20k.
March-June has Dragon Quest Builders, Kirby, Attack on Titan, Hyrule Warriors, Labo Variety & Labo Robot, Donkey Kong, Dark Souls, Mario Tennis with other 2018 games that dont have a release date yet like Yoshi, Fire Emblem, Octopath Traveler, Dragon Quest XI and obviously some other big games that will be revealed at E3 or Spring/Summer Directs.
So no reason to believe the baseline wont increase with the steady flow of games from March onward.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.
