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Megiddo said:

It's going to be difficult for the Switch to hit 20 million next fiscal year with a 40-50k weekly average in Japan. I believe that's roughly 2-2.5 million for a year in one of its strongest regions. Hope it has some big plans for the second half of 2018 to be able to reach such a bold goal.

New software and non-winter holidays will drive hardware and software sales (like golden week) so using a flat weekly total is not ideal.