PS4 vs Switch: Launch aligned, who hits 100 million first?

[Pyro as Bill]

Barkley said:
PS4. Switch won't reach 100m.

Are you still in the 'less than 3DS' mindset? How can you look at the price difference, software sales, the new (to portables) IPs and still think it'll do less?

Switch ~15M Software ~52M @ $60

3DS ~15M Software ~33M @ $40

3DS end of 2014 (20 months)	Switch (9 months)
SM3DLand	7.8M	9.1M	SMOdyssey
MK7	7.3M	7.3M	MK8D
OoT	2.4M	6.7M	BoTW
NSMB2	5M	4.9M	Splatoon2
Ndogs+cats	2.8M	1.9M	12Switch
ACross	2M	1.6M	Arms
PaperMario	1.1M	1.2M	M+Rabbids
KH3D	1.1M	1.1M	Xeno
KidIc	1M	1M	Pokken

 

Azuren said:

... First year is important, but it is almost never indicative of just how well it will sell in the long run. Not saying it doesn't stand a good chance. Just saying maybe some of you should be a little less smug about your predictions and stop telling people they're wrong because "first year sales".

Other systems lost momentum due to lack of games. That won't be a problem for Switch.