PS4 vs Switch: Launch aligned, who hits 100 million first?

[zorg1000]

quickrick said:

PDF said:

Why did the 3DS not get to DS level of sales?  What has happened to mobile gaming market from nov 2004 to now?  We all know its the introduction of powerful smartphone and tablet devices.  Why would this trend reverse?

There is clearly a demand from early adopters that still want a Nintendo gaming device.  I think Nintendo has created an extra surge by combining their home console with their handheld but there is no reason to think that the audience of casual mobile buyers will grow.  If anything it will shrink as more start to use other devices.  I do not think it will shrink at the same rate that the DS to 3DS did.

After being on this site for over a decade, I have learned that launches do not always tell the full story.  If it did the PS3 would be dead and the Wii would have sold more than the PS2. The XB1 would still be outselling the 360 ect..   

they will give you the silly reason that it got a price, failing to realize that ds was still much cheaper in it's first year. so that it had nothing to do with why its didn't reach 100 million. 

Nope, pretty much everybody agrees that smartphones/tablets were a huge factor in the decline of DS/PSP to 3DS/Vita.

DS was the go to device for low cost, simple casual titles but those have now moved onto smart devices.

PSP was by far the best portable multimedia device when it released but smart device are now superior.

 

With that said, Nintendo/Sony also made a bunch of key mistakes that made the decline larger than it needed to be. 3DS+Vita will sell around ~90m, if they had better execution they could have possibly done ~120m or so.