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curl-6 said:

By 2023 it should be well and truly possible to achieve base PS4 performance when portable, and a boost to around Xbox One X level when docked.

No, there's a bigger gap between base PS4/X1X (3x) than Switch in portable vs docked mode (2x) ... 

Besides the Switch has already consumed one more transistor shrink compared to base PS4 (28nm vs 20/16nm) so if Nintendo released a new system in 2023 that only gives them 2 more transistor shrinks to work with so Nintendo's new portable system could easily end up with lower performance than even base X1 if we still assume that perf/watt will linearly scale by 2x with each transistor shrink ...