| flashfire926 said: I'm basing my prediction off all previous nintendo home consoles. SNES, N64, GC, Wii, and Wii U had their successors come out in 5-6 years. By "fairly quickly", I meant 5-6 years, not 3-4 years. Gen 7-8 have long lifespans for xbox/ps, so compared to that its "fairly quickly". And just because Nintendo will support Switch for longer than that time period, doesn't mean a new console cant come in the midst of that. |
Nice try
Sony
PS1 --> PS2 (6 years)
PS2 --> PS3 (6 years)
PS3 --> PS4 (7 years)
Microsoft
Xbox -> Xbox 360 (4 years)
Xbox 360 -> Xbox One (8 years)
A system lasting 6 years actually fairly normal. Generation 7 was just prolong so long because the tech wasn't ready and Sony and Microsoft wanted to recoup some of the costs for generation 7. Nintendo home consoles usually last 5 years. The only expectation was the Wii which was replaced in 6 years. Also the Wii was outdated tech wise in 2006 (ignoring motion controls). Nintendo will replace the Switch when it is a good idea and depending on what the competition is doing. If Sony and Microsoft drag out Generation 9 like they are dragging generation 7 & 8 than I wouldn't expect Nintendo to replace the Switch so early. Especially if the Switch is super successful .
Here are the handhelds
Gameboy -> GBA (11 years!)
GBA -> DS (4 years)
DS -> 3DS (6 years)
Handheld lifetimes are all over the place. The gameboy lasting as long as it did was due to a hardware refresh and pokemon and no competition. GBA had a short lifespan due to Nintendo hurrying up to make a system to compete with the PSP. DS had a standard life cycle and so did the 3DS. Remember the Switch is also a Nintendo handheld. So you have to take consideration of both home and handheld markets. Nintendo might drag out the Switch lifespan if Sony and Microsoft do the same for the PS5 and Xbox 4. I wouldn't be surprised if Nintendo wait 7-8 years to release a new system. I think 6 years is the earliest they will release a Generation 10 console.
