PAL charts week 24 (2008), METAL GEAR SOLID 4: GUNS OF PATRIOTS first week

[Bodhesatva]

Yeah, MGS4 at 120-140k.

Just as in Japan, MGS4 is tracking almost exactly like its predecessors, regardless of install base. I'm feeling very good about my 5 million WW prediction about now.

I don't think I entirely understand why people thought MGS4 would sell better in the UK -- these seem like reasonable figures to me. I remember people arguing that MGS4 would sell up to par with MGS2/3 in Japan, and I agreed with them; the argument was that despite install base, the MGS fanbase is very loyal, and will purchase this game regardless of cost or platform choice. Again, I agreed with that.

Given that reasonining, why wouldn't the same hold true in the UK? Regardless of userbase, MGS4 will sell about as well as MGS2/3. I suppose people thought that the regardless of userbase logic only applies if the PS3 is selling poorly? It doesn't matter if the PS3 is selling poorly (as in Japan) or selling well (as in the UK), MGS has a group of people who love it and that group doesn't seem to change much if you have 10 million users or 100 million.