RolStoppable said:
300k shipped in Japan would only make sense if there had been shortages going into the fiscal year. For example, if at the start of the fiscal year there are 50k units that aren't sold through yet and there are also 50k units not sold through three quarters later, then selling through 250k units translates to 250k units in shipments. But if there was a shortage at the start of the fiscal year (for argument's sake there were 0 units not sold through yet), then fixing the shortage and selling through 250k units would translate to shipments of 300k if there are 50k units not sold through after three quarters. More importantly though, it doesn't change the outcome for this thread if Vita shipped 500k, 600k, 700k or 800k. I don't think anyone would argue in favor of 1m+. Right now shipment forecasts for PS4, Switch and 3DS give Nintendo a lead of 2.4m, so the real point I was making concerns the margin of victory for Nintendo. People will look at the difference of 2.4m and might jump the gun to conclude Nintendo will win by 2-3m, but I am saying that a range of 1-2m is much, much more likely. You are free to estimate Vita at 800k because it doesn't change the outcome. My first paragraph is merely an explanation for a flaw in your logic, because I have no reason to fight over 50k units. |
I am not fighting for 50k units, I just enjoy accuracy. Doesn't matter to me who wins, as long as they actually win. And if you had knowledge about sales figures, I would certainly want to know as it is very interesting.
Vita sold 150k from the January to March quarter, before the FY started. While it might sell 90k this quarter. So I think it is fair to say a there will be more units shipped April 1 2017 than April 1 2018, but it doesn't really make much of a difference.
