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Nuvendil on 01 February 2018
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xMetroid said:
Nuvendil said:

I have little doubt that's what they *want* and *say*.  I was referring to what will likely happen :P

It won't sir.

Just cause they will have only 1 system and with the huge install base it will have, there is no way they will jump into the next, most likely, hybrid console. Cause if it flops they are in trouble. I see them using the Switch as much as possible so the next one will have a significant upgrade.

 

Also, they will only work on Switch at some point so the next few year will be major. They will be able to keep having some titles going on Switch (cause it has an healthy ecosystem) while they prepare the other console's launch 

Ah but the significant upgrade problem being faced by Sony and MS is not currently an issue for Nintendo.  By 2022 much less 2023 the tech will be there for them to make a very, very substantial jump within the same form factor and see very strong real world performance gains.  So while they need to wait until then, they don't have to wait as long past then.  Sony and MS are locked into a long gen because they need the next jump to be significant and diminishing returns has made that harder and harder.

The problem Nintendo is facing is that they have positioned themselves as a hybrid.  Whether people on this forum acknowledge that, that's what it is marketed as, that's what the majority of people use it as.  And part of that deal is it being strong enough to be serviceable in tv mode.  And the Switch is.  Barely.  And a part of that strategy is Nintendo is pursuing renewed third party support from companies who have no interested in the handheld space and are looking at the Switch as part of their console strategy.  These aspects of the Switch and Nintendo's strategy mean that what happens in the console space matters.  If the PS5 comes out and puts the Switch impossibly behind the market standard to the point third party support evaporates and perception of the Switch brand begins to decay, they will need to move on.  The Switch and Nintendo do. not. operate. in. a. vacuum.  And while they can do a hell of a lot of work with their internal studios and they are beefing their studios up, they cannot exist as an island unto themselves.  

The Switch will be supported for as long as they feel it is viable and advisable.  Then the support will stop.  They would love it to be 7 or 8 years.  But they certainly won't press that if it can't.  And I do not believe it will.