Hopefully Nintendo doesn’t run into any or as many hardware supply issues in 2018. With the year already having a good lineup in terms of new, original releases and high profile Wii U games that many people did not experience before, I think the system will do well. Plus...Labo. Nobody thinks it’s going to bomb. (Or if they do, they are sorely mistaken.) I think everyone could agree that it’s going to be a multi million seller.
What remains to be seen, is just how high of a seller will it be to existing owners and how many new people will it bring in to wanting to buy the system to play it. It’s safe to assume that there will be 17 million Nintendo Switch owners by April 20th. A 20% attach rate would be 3.4 million Labo sets sold, easily, in the first 10 days of availability.
If the marketing and word-of-mouth is strong, kids will tell their friends and Nintendo Swich sales will skyrocket in the month of May and beyond. If it could sell 10 million copies by July 1st, with Nintendo Switch being at 20 million by that date, then the rest of 2018 will be smooth sailing for Nintendo.
